A newsletter a day keeps the losses away
4 min read

A newsletter a day keeps the losses away

Cryptic ball: alt season, last leg.

Yesterday Apple become the first company in the world to (momentarily) achieve a $3 trillion valuation. The entire cryptoasset market is (just) worth $2.25 trillion. So we're definitely early, even if we may see crypto at a lower valuation in the coming years - in case there's a harsh winter like before. But the next time they say crypto is bubbly, show them Apple's chart and ask which is growing at a more extreme rate (provided we replace decades for four-year periods).

And what will be interesting to see is when the entire crypto market cap overcomes not the leading traditional company but an entire sector or financial index. That will be a nice flippening for the next cycle. Meanwhile, for this cycle and as written yesterday, I'm growing more convinced we'll see ETH surpassing BTC's market cap this year - the original flippening meme that drove many to madness in 2018. On that note, remember when, last April, I warned you about when bitcoin lost its historical dominance support over ether and the rest of the alts?

That was a sign of euphoria, but 2021 consolidated such a ratio into levels only seen in the first half of 2018. Looking at that same chart below (which reached a local bottom during May's top), we can see that dominance has just broken down below May's levels. This shows the market is heavy on alts - something which doesn't happen if traders are truly feeling fearful. We're now clearly headed towards the absolute dominance bottom, reached during 2018's market top.

I feel traders will be paying attention to this level, and if we drop below it then alt euphoria will ensue. The Ethereum 2.0 narrative is being rescued as L1 ETH killers are struggling below their ATHs. Its Proof-of-Work blockchain's merge with the Proof-of-Stake beacon chain is also planned for Q2 and will likely generate a lot of hype. Will this the event that will coincide with the market top? Like 2017's bitcoin futures and 2021's Coinbase IPO (because the $69k meme top didn't count)?

Chart art: $45.5k tests, last bounce.

Some argue dominance doesn't matter anymore. But this is an important change in trend. Especially when it's being led by such a small group of alts pumping these days: ATOM, NEAR, FTM, CRV,a nd some others.
Bitcoin tested $45.5k again yesterday. And buyers came in. If alts start showing strength soon, bitcoin can finally bounce. But if BTC breaks down, alts will suffer. 

Three things: multichain future, last try.

Tweet tip: watch out CT, last warning.

Meme moment: scaling solutions, last change.

B21 Universe: earn and spend.

Do more with your cryptoassets: stake and take profits.

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Our newsletter offers opinions and insights from analysts in the cryptoasset space. It is not intended to be investment advice, and should not be treated as such. You must not rely on its information as an alternative to financial advice from a qualified professional. Without prejudice, we do not undertake or guarantee that its information is correct, complete or non-misleading; or that the use of guidance in the report will lead to any particular outcome or result.