Saylor Moon
4 min read

Saylor Moon

B21 Crypto. We help you stomach cryptoassets.

Cryptic ball: such is fear.

It seems our double bottom at $30k scenario was right. As everyone was feeling the fear and trying to enter new shorts, bitcoin quickly bounced from $30.9k to $35.5k, a 15% gain, as buyers with cash on the sidelines decided to trap bears and provide some relief to alternative cryptoassets. No particular news coincided with the current bottom, but everyone's trying to justify the move on El Salvador, which has officially ratified the bill, and on an announcement from Microstrategy that their recent corporate bond sale was heavily oversubscribed. What does it mean?

Well, the analytics company headed by Michael Saylor, a famous Bitcoin bull, bought $1.1 billion in BTC in 2020 at an average price of $15.9k. That's 70,470 bitcoins! As of May, they had raised that number to 92,079, for an average purchase price of $24.5k. Now, they aimed to raise $400 million from investors to buy more bitcoin in exchange for interest from the bond, which yields 6.125% a year. But had to increase the offering to $500 million after receiving $1.6 billion in orders! Did anyone say (indirect) institutional interest in Bitcoin was dead?

Chart art: such is a range.

The meme triangle that was just an horizontal range.

Market musings: such is a saviour.

If it wasn't clear, we don't think Saylor's bond offering had anything to do with the bottom as Microstrategy's love of Bitcoin is priced in for a while. Still, it's a positive reinforcement to mitigate the overextended fear felt by many. While it's true that we're not out of the woods yet, as plenty of shorts remain open, it's also the case that those shorts likely have thin margins now, meaning they can get liquidated soon, which would push prices higher.

For this scenario to play out as expected, look out for similar price behaviour as the one described here. Meanwhile, don't forget that bears haven't suffered yet, so they can resume an attack provided the right incentive comes up. Moments ago, Coinbase, the world's most popular exchange, suffered some temporary downtime. While this sometimes happens to a subset of users, note it's the kind of event that can create widespread chaos, if it starts to affect a larger percentage of traders. As always, don't panic nor FOMO, and trade according to this chop.  

Visual block: such is an acceptable fee.

The lack of speculation on meme coins has brought fees down to earth.

Three things: such is love and hate.

Tweet tip: such is the truth.

Meme moment: such is life.

The Desi Crypto Show: learn more about QuickSwap.

Sameep Singhania is the co-founder of QuickSwap, a popular decentralised exchange.

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Our newsletter offers opinions and insights from analysts in the cryptoasset space. It is not intended to be investment advice, and should not be treated as such. You must not rely on its information as an alternative to financial advice from a qualified professional. Without prejudice, we do not undertake or guarantee that its information is correct, complete or non-misleading; or that the use of guidance in the report will lead to any particular outcome or result.